Yellowfin Tuna at Corbeteña, El Banco Craps Out, Perfect October Fishing in PV!

Yellowfin Tuna at Corbeteña, El Banco Craps Out, Perfect October Fishing in PV! 

Written by Stan Gabruk of Master Baiter ´s Sportfishing and Tackle

I was hoping the few days after Hurricane Jove would push some much desired game fish to El Banco and it looked like this was going to be a jump start for this normally producing location. But his year El Banco has been anything but productive by any yard stick. T here were a few days after hurricane Jove passed by that were good, but that was short lived. Now the action is back at Corbeteña and what is happening now is the stuff finned fantasies are made of! Yellowfin Tuna, Blue Marlin, Big Dorado, Sailfish, Cubera Snappers, I mean the Rock is Rockin for sure. People always ask me when the best time to be in Puerto Vallarta is? My answer is always the same, NOW! That´s right amigos, you are looking at the best time of the year to catch a Bucket List, Monster Finned Fantasy in our world famous fishing grounds of Puerto Vallarta. Welcome to Tournament Season amigos, the game is on!

 Yellowfin Tuna @ Crobetena on Izak wCapt. Richard

Yellowfin Tuna @ Crobetena on Izak wCapt. Richard

Let´s just start with El Banco or The Bank as it is also commonly called. Now remember everything can change before I finish this article, but for my money, there is no reason to head out to El Banco, none. The fish you will find there are Sailfish, Maybe some Marlin, come Cubera Snappers (aka Dog Tooth Pargo) and football sized Yellowfin Tuna. Essentially the Footballs are bait for Corbeteña. For the next ten minutes (or so) heading to Corbeteña is your smartest move. There, I said it and I am sticking with it. Corbeteña Yes, El Banco, No. Enough Said. Update 10/19/ 2011 all of a sudden El Banco explodes with Yellowfin Tuna and larger Black Marlin. Like I said earlier in the article, before I could post it, things changed! Plenty of live bait and by that I mean full sized Chorra (any kind of bait including t he following), Skip Jack Tuna, Bonito and Sardines like nuts now!

Sailfish off Punta Mita Point

Sailfish off Punta Mita Point

 

Now Corbeteña has turned into the fishing ¨promise land¨ as late. Marlin is kinda sparse here right now, with most of the Marlin in the area between the rock and El Morro. Lots of Blue Marlin in the 500 lb range hanging out there looking for a live Skippie (aka SkipJack Tuna) or bullet Tuna / Bonito.  Dorado are huge with some in the 50lb range, Cubera Snappers are in the 60lb range, Sailfish are large and in tournament winning size ranges. Yellowfin tuna in the 160 lb range (several over 200lbs). I mean what more could you want for perfect fishing conditions? Plenty of bait, blue water, perfect water temperatures in the 84 degrees range. It is all coming together here and now. If you are heading out of the bay keep your ears open about El Banco, but plan on Corbeteña.

Both the points off Cabo Corrientes and Punta Mita are doing well with plenty of Dorado and nice sized Sailfish as you may expect for this time of the year. In fact normally we have a heavy season for Sailfish once the middle of October arrives. It´s just their pattern and many times these days with all the bait in the bay, they will come in and take advantage of the abundant bait fish. Between Cabo Corrientes and El Morro is fertile territory for these beauties. Which site is better, it depends on the day, so keep your ears on amigos.

The bay is insane with great fishing. Now four hour trips are producing well. But on a super panga for two more hours it will only cost you 50 bucks… and for six yours you can expect to limit out on everything. Yes I know nobody enforces the regulations yet, but you know what I mean. Remember to throw w the female Dorado back for obvious reasons. One dead female is like killing a small school of fish, remember that when you start keeping the females amigos.

I have been keeping a keen eye on the water temperatures as late and they are hanging in the area we would prefer in the 84 to 86 degree range. With NOAA declaring this another La Nina Year, very rare, we are expecting the same weather patterns as last year as well. But with a little luck it will be a mild la Nina year and we will see winter set in around normal. What does this mean to you if you are coming down in December and early January, well it means there should still be very large gamefish at the deep water fishing grounds. For the seasonal traveler or Holiday traveler this means you will have cool weather in PV and you will have hot fishing. I see this as a good thing since everyone wants to catch Moby Dick if they can. But remember Marlin at rare times will come into the bay, but almost never. You need longer distances to get larger fish in PV. Keep this in mind so you don´t get into some situation where you pay for something you would never have a chance to catch.

 

Thanks for reading. If you want to sign up for my weekly and biweekly post on my web site sign up for a subscription at: www.masterbaiters.wordpress.com and  you will receive a notice of when I post articles, pictures or other stuff you will want to know about…..

For those of you looking for local news, I suggest two different online places, One is: BanderasNews (dot) com and the other is PVMirror (dot)com … Both are outstanding publications that you can access online to receive the latest and greatest in Puerto Vallarta´s daily activities and news on Mexico.

Until next time, don´t forget to kiss your fish!

As the oldest fishing company in Puerto Vallarta and the only company with any World Recognized Fishing Championships like the WBS Billfishing Series Grand Champions (2000 and 2001) under our belt. Nobody, but nobody in Puerto Vallarta can come close to us in quality or price when it comes to world class fishing boats. Remember, at Master Baiter´s Sportfishing and Tackle, We Won´t Jerk You Around! If you have any questions on any subject regarding fishing or Puerto Vallarta, feel free to ask!

For questions or suggestions you can reach me at: CatchFish@MasterBaiters.com.mx

The trade name Master Baiter’s ® Sportfishing and Tackle is protected under trade mark law and is the sole property of Stan Gabruk.

 

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Hurricane jova Fizzles, El Banco Comes to Life, Tournament Season Begins!

Hurricane jova Fizzles, El Banco Comes to Life, Tournament Season Begins !

Written by Stan Gabruk, owner Master Baiter´s Sportfishing and Tackle

We were under a Hurricane watch for what seemed like an eternity but Hurricane Jova passed us without any issues. Not so for Barra Navidad and Manzanillo who are south of Puerto Vallarta by about 150 miles. Now you may ask how this affected fishing in Puerto Vallarta and my answer would have to be favorably! In front of Hurricane Jova we saw every species we look for coming in closer in front of the storm in larger numbers.  The report may be a little short this week, but I am sure you understand.

 Dorado, Nathan Howard, Punta Mita

Dorado, Nathan Howard, Punta Mita

We had been watching two hurricanes, Jova and Irwin. Irwin is still spinning around, but is little more than a threat of rain and wind about Mid Mexico now on the west coast. Jova on the other hand had us wondering. Most of the time when Puerto Vallarta is threatened it is a series of tropical storms pushing one in the direction of the Mexican coast. Such was the case with Jova this past week and dominated my blog reports. Jova is gone now, short lived once it hit land. As you would expect we got a fair amount of rain which washed down the mountains of all sorts of organic materials like seeds, leaves, roots, bugs, you name it. Just what ¨they¨ like in the bay and these are the materials that form the trash line we speak so much about at this time of the year. So things have taken off to say the least in the bay these last few days with nice Football sized Tuna and tons of Dorado. Nothing fancy, just find your way on the bay and catch fish. Not much more complicated than that. The Football Yellowfin Tuna are running in the 40lb range, great for eating and the Dorado are in the 25lb range as well, large for the bay. There are also Roballo or Snook just stuffing themselves at the river mouth in dirty water, they don´t care. So if you are looking for a short trip, lots of ¨Table¨ fish then you don´t need to go any farther than the bay.

Looking for something a little larger in size, then Corbeteña is the place to start looking. With Marlin hovering between the Marietta islands and the Rock, anywhere past the Marietta or El Morro Island is fertile ground for a smaller Blue Marlin. If you find yourself looking for Yellowfin Tuna at the Rock, it turned a little funny out there after the storm. The Yellowfin moved out for a little while, but I am sure this is short lived and will return shortly like they always do. But there are larger Dorado in the 40lb range, Sailfish, Dog Tooth Pargo, aka Cubera Snappers, Marlin and with a little luck Yellowfin Tuna in the next day or so.

Dorado and Sailfish at Corbeteña

Dorado and Sailfish at Corbeteña

El Banco has for some reason sprung to life with Yellowfin Tuna, something that has been missing at this normal Yellowfin Tuna Heaven for sure. Sailfish in the Area as well and there is the chance of a Black Marlin for sure. While the Yellowfin Tuna are not Monsters for sure, still at 100 lbs upwards to 200 lbs can be worth your fuel dollar, finally! With plenty of bait in the water it may just pick up enough for the Pez Vela Tournament to be worthwhile this year.

The points of Punta Mita and Cabo Corrientes are still smoking with action, Dorado and Sailfish mostly. By the reefs at Punta Mita there is always the chance of Rooster Fish on a shinny lure or live Google Eye. Worth your time and money which ever location you choose to hit.

With the port only open a couple of days the sizes of fish are hard to  call or predict. We are still waiting to see people heading out to the fishing grounds. As far as sizes go, not enough reports to actually give sizes. But the fishing is happening and in a few days I will have a better feel for what is happening out there. But before the storm as everyone was nervous the fishing exploded as you can expect in the path of a Hurricane or even tropical storm. The trick here is to get your fishing days in as the pressure pushes the game fish in the direction of where you are at. This does not always work, it just depends, but with us here in Puerto Vallarta we found two storms pushing in our direction and that is when if you find yourself in the right place, you can enjoy the benefits as you cross your fingers hoping the Hurricane heads elsewhere.  

Mexican Footalls, YF Tuna that is, Good Eating!

Mexican Footalls, YF Tuna that is, Good Eating!

Keep an eye on my blog with a more detailed report for this week since the port has only been open for a few days (www.masterbaiters.wordpress.com)

The good news is the water temperatures are holding true even at 84 to 86 degrees with the oncoming of another La Nina year with colder than normal water temperatures circulating enevitable. Plenty of bait and blue water. But we are coming to an end of the rainy season and soon the trash line will be a thing of the past until next year. No worries amigos, fishing will hopefully remain great into January!  

Until next time, don`t forget to kiss your fish!

As the oldest fishing company in Puerto Vallarta and the only company with any World Recognized Fishing Championships like the WBS Billfishing Series Grand Champions (2000 and 2001) under our belt. Nobody, but nobody in Puerto Vallarta can come close to us in quality or price when it comes to world class fishing boats. Remember, at Master Baiter´s Sportfishing and Tackle, We Won´t Jerk You Around! If you have any questions on any subject regarding fishing or Puerto Vallarta, feel free to ask!

For questions or suggestions you can reach me at: CatchFish@MasterBaiters.com.mx

The trade name Master Baiter’s ® Sportfishing and Tackle is protected under trade mark law and is the sole property of Stan Gabruk.

 

Volatile Weather, Incredible Fishing, It´s All Part of the Package When Fishing in Puerto Vallarta

Volatile Weather, Incredible Fishing, It´s All Part of the Package When Fishing in Puerto Vallarta

Written by Stan Gabruk, owner Master Baiter´s Sportfishing & Tackle

It ´s seven o’clock in the morning and it`s 77 degrees, feels like 82 with 92 % humidity, we have a threat of a Hurricane and Puerto Vallarta is nervous. But this doesn´t keep the hardcore fisherman types who came down to catch a finned fantasy from heading out to Corbeteña. In fact I have not seen this many boats heading out at one time in the mornings from Marina Vallarta in months. Conditions are perfect and here are tons of world class game fish to choose from. Now is the time to be in Vallarta, well maybe after the impending storm, but immediately after, no matter what the town is like, the fish will be out there waiting for the first to arrive with something interesting in the form of Karnada (or bait in English) being presented to them.

Robert Bryant Blue Marlin, Corbeteña, Fishing on Magnifico

Robert Bryant Blue Marlin, Corbeteña, Fishing on Magnifico

For the last couple of weeks there has been so many Sardines at the fishing grounds it has been a challenge to get fish to turn their heads. But even with all the Sardines the Yellowfin Tuna, Marlin, etc have been going after Google Eyes, go figure. Knowing this can give you a leg up, but you have to be out there for this information to be of any use. As we entered October, the best time of the year to fish Puerto Vallarta´s world class fishing grounds, people start to show up. Those in the know anyway, those looking to boat a Monster Yellowfin or Huge Marlin. Welcome to Puerto Vallarta´s high season for fishing, anything is possible from now to the end of the year!

We keep waiting and waiting for El Banco to turn into the machine it normally is and has been for the past hundred years or so. We´re still waiting. Those heading to El Banco recently found Yellowfin Tuna in the 60 to 120 lb range, but they had to work and wait for them. I should mention that there have been some 250 pounders (Monsters) out there boated as well, but they were late, late in the day as the sun was going down. They were picky, using a kite was the trick to entice this Monsters up! You see the bite is still happening before 11:00 a.m. and after 4:00 P.M. which means the middle of the day for a week or so now is dead, dead, dead! In the bay it´s a little different, but more about that later… For now with the extra fuel cost, distance and of course time you have better options. Not many heading out in this direction and those heading to El Banco looking for some action would be better suited to take a late afternoon trip and anchor on the high spots over night. This way you can catch the evening bite and the early morning bite without the waiting in the mid day sun! Of course this is a little more expensive, but it is a kick to be on the ocean in the evening with the stars out in full force! Something to think about. For now I don´t know what the deal is, but sooner or later El Banco is going to explode, stay tuned.

 Zwlema Saldivar, Dorado, Bella Del Mar, 6hrs

Zwlema Saldivar, Dorado, Bella Del Mar, 6hrs

Once again Corbeteña is the place to be. We had a few days where the Yellowfin Tuna kind of disappeared, but where ever they went, they are back now. With the YF Tuna running between 60 and 160 lbs they may not be Monsters, but they are still YF Tuna which means a sixty pound fish can still tear your arms off. Many Black Marlin here as well, but for the most part they have been disappointingly small in the 250 to 400 lb range. There have been some larger Marlin boated but I have not seen them personally. Sailfish, Dorado and Cubera Snappers round out the picture. Magnifico came in the other day where clients hooked into two Blue Marlin, Two Sailfish and two nice sized Dorado.  Not a bad day, but again this all happened for the most part before 1:00 in the afternoon!

For a few days this week the point off Punta Mita, which was producing very large Dorado calmed down and the Dorado got down-right small. But that was just a hick-up and the area off the point is still alive with action. Sailfish are still thick in the 85 to 100 lb range, good size for Sailfish. Dorado are in the 20 to 35 lb range, not huge, but not bad either. Rooster fish have faded out for some reason, but if you are around the reef at Anclote, give it a try.

You may have noticed I have not been saying much about the Marietta islands. For some reason the place is less than exciting for the last several weeks.  Those heading out to the islands thinking they are zigging when others are zagging are finding out they would have been better off at Punta Mita or off Cabo Corrientes. For now, if you want to give the Islands a shot, I would do it on the way back from Corbeteña. But then again, if you hit Corbeteña why would you stop here? Better yet, just wait until something happens out there. If you are out there snorkeling then you may want to put a line out. Small Snappers, Dorado, Needle Fish, Bonito, Skip jacks are the regular players here with an off chance of a Rooster Fish for the lucky. Again for now, other options are available to you.

One of those options would be the southern point of the bay. Cabo Corrientes has for some reason been hot and cold. You know what that means, you may find yourself pulling your hair out in frustration. For now anywhere between the Corrientes point and El Morro is the land of possibilities. Those venturing out to this area are coming in with nice sized Dorado in the 25 lb range, Football Tuna in the 35 lb range and smaller Sailfish and yes, possibly a small Marlin. For an eight hour day, you have some nice options between this location and Punta Mita. Keep your ears on and make a decision from the previous days reports, before heading out.

You know it´s funny, there are times when you can head out to a place like El Banco or The Bank, a twelve hour trip, just to find better fishing in the bay. There were days this week where this was the exact case. Anglers coming back into Marina Vallarta found they could boat their limit of fair sized Dorado and Football YF Tuna just a few miles out of the Marina. Go figure! With the rainy season coming to an end it won´t be long before the trash line in the bay is a thing of the past,k at least until next summer. Those looking for short days with plenty of action may find themselves with small Sailfish strikes as well. The bay is so full of bait it is drawing in Billfish where we normally would not see any. So don´t be told there are no fish in the bay.

We are seeing more and more people arrive in Puerto Vallarta now, the fishing is outstanding and we have a couple of tournaments worth mentioning. The Hooked on a Cure tournament takes place this coming week and handled by Kim and Ed from Charter Dreams Sportfishing (http://www.charterdreams.com for details). A small tournament that has quite a following which supports Cystic Fibrosis research, Ed and Kim have more information. Also remember the Pez Vela Tournament, Puerto Vallarta´s largest and oldest tournament happens on the 9th through the 12th this November and with the conditions as they have been we are expecting a great turn out (http://fishvallarta.com)! Magnifico is still available for this tournament and we are keeping the prices down as we always do. If interested let me know, Magnifico has carried the winner of this tournament in the past and will again in the future. Maybe it will be you next time! For more info on prices etc contact me at: CatchFish@MasterBaiters.com.mx

Well that´s the latest and greatest for now. Remember you can always pick up the locals information on what is happening in Puerto Vallarta´s fishing grounds and information like Hurricane activities by going to my blog at: www.masterbaiters.wordpress.com . There is plenty on Hurricane Jova right now and if you have a boat in Puerto Vallarta or the area it may be a good idea for you to subscribe to it so you get this sort of information in your mail box. Fish pictures, updates, inside information, if you are interested then check it out. It´s free and user friendly with years of past articles to refer back to.

Until next time, don´t forget to kiss your fish!

Hurricane Jova (10 11 2011) Weakens a Little, Still a Cat. 2 Hurricane, PV will get Tropical Storm Force Winds and Rain

Below is the link you want to keep in touch with. It is up to the minuet, you can reduce or enlarge the picture and it gives much more visual information as to what is happening with Hurricane Jova. Copy and paste into your browser, you`ll be glad you did, book more the location for future reference. 

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=18.3&lon=-105.4&zoom=6&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=1&hur.wr=0&hur.cod=1&hur.fx=1&hur.obs=1&fire=0&ft=0&sl

It looks like Jova will enter the mainland around Manzanillo and may go towards the south or straight in to the center of Mexico . Most models are showing the Hurricane or Tropical storm as it reaches the Puerto Vallarta area hitting us in PV around 2 p.m. Wednesday afternoon with diminished winds of Tropical Storm Force, much weaker than full Hurricane force. Once Jova makes land it is expected to rapidly weaken to a cat. 1 as it continues to weaken as it marches along.

Presently: The storm has dropped in strength (weakened) to a Catagory 2 from a  Catagory 3 yesterday.  This is a little strange since the warmer water close to shore should reinforce this storm. But it has been working now for almost a week and with a little luck may hit  the coast with Tropical Storm force. We would be lucky if this happens amigos. PV would then be ou t of the woods. Yes we will get our hair blown around but the fact is the Hurricane is running out of gas as we speak. It can change in a heart beat for the worse so keep your ears open.

By now  you should be prepared with the essentials like water, batteries, no refrigerated foods, Candles, charged computers and cell phones is a good idea. You should expect power outages for what could be possibly days because the whole area will be pounded for a couple of days and I can not imagine we will get through this with electricity.

This is part of the public warning issued by the authorities:

Storm surge...a dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of 
where the center makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall...Jova is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches over the states of michoacan...
 Colima...Jalisco... and nayarit...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. These rains could cause 
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over mountainous terrain.
Surf...swells generated by Jova are affecting portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

All the area warnings are posted below the pictures of the hurricane track if you want to read them.

Here is the latest and greatest tracking models and forecast:Click on the photo to enlarge for easier reading as you move along…..

Hurricane Jova 10 11 2011

Hurricane Jova 10 11 2011

Your 5 day model / forecast:

Hurricane Jova 10 11 2011 5 day forecast

Hurricane Jova 10 11 2011 5 day forecast

And your  computer models, if this does not confuse you nothing will, A computers best guess for  sure!

Hurricane Jova 10 11 2011 computer Models

Hurricane Jova 10 11 2011 computer Models

There you go, make good use of these projections. They are the best we have available for now.

Below is Jovas projected or Probable wind speeds by area.  You will notice PV is looking like it will get wet and windy, but we may just dodge another weather bullet… check it out below:

2100 UTC Tue Oct 11 2011
at 2100z the center of Hurricane Jova was located near latitude 18.3
north...longitude 105.4 west with maximum sustained winds near 85
kts...100 mph...160 km/h.
Z indicates coordinated Universal time (greenwich)
   Pacific  daylight time (pdt)...subtract  7 hours from z time
   Hawaiian Standard time (hst)...subtract 10 hours from z time
I.  Maximum wind speed (intensity) probability table
chances that the maximum sustained (1-minute average) wind speed of
the tropical cyclone will be within any of the following categories
at each official forecast time during the next 5 days.
Probabilities are given in percent.  X indicates probabilities less
than 1 percent.
- - - Maximum wind speed (intensity) probabilities - - -
valid time   06z Wed 18z Wed 06z Thu 18z Thu 18z Fri 18z Sat 18z sun
forecast hour   12      24      36      48      72      96     120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
dissipated       x       1      30      47      na      na      na
trop depression  x      17      38      25      na      na      na
tropical storm  13      61      18      14      na      na      na
hurricane       87      21      14      14      na      na      na
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hur Cat 1       60      15      10       8      na      na      na
Hur Cat 2       24       4       3       3      na      na      na
Hur Cat 3        3       2       1       2      na      na      na
Hur Cat 4        x       x       x       x      na      na      na
Hur Cat 5        x       x       x       x      na      na      na
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
fcst Max wind   85kt    50kt    30kt    25kt    na      na      na
ii. Wind speed probability table for specific locations
chances of sustained (1-minute average) wind speeds of at least
   ...34 kt (39 mph... 63 kph)...
   ...50 kt (58 mph... 93 kph)...
   ...64 kt (74 mph...119 kph)...
for locations and time periods during the next 5 days
probabilities for locations are given as ip(cp) where ip is the probability of the event beginning during an 
individual time period (individual probability) (cp) is the probability of the event occurring between 18z Tue 
and the forecast hour (cumulative probability)
probabilities are given in percent
x indicates probabilities less than 1 percent
probabilities for 34 kt and 50 kt are shown at a given location when
the 5-day cumulative probability is at least 3 percent.
Probabilities for 64 kt are shown when the 5-day cumulative
probability is at least 1 percent.
- - - - Wind speed probabilities for selected  locations - - - -
from    from    from    from    from    from    from
  time       18z Tue 06z Wed 18z Wed 06z Thu 18z Thu 18z Fri 18z Sat
periods         to      to      to      to      to      to      to
             06z Wed 18z Wed 06z Thu 18z Thu 18z Fri 18z Sat 18z sun
forecast hour    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
location       kt
Mazatlan       34  2   3( 5)   4( 9)   6(15)   x(15)   x(15)   x(15)
Mazatlan       50  x   x( x)   1( 1)   2( 3)   x( 3)   x( 3)   x( 3)
San Blas       34  5  18(23)  11(34)   3(37)   x(37)   x(37)   x(37)
San Blas       50  1   2( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   x(13)   x(13)   x(13)
San Blas       64  x   x( x)   1( 1)   1( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)

 p vallarta 34 43 29(72) 3(75) x(75) x(75) x(75) x(75)
 p vallarta 50 2 15(17) 4(21) 2(23) x(23) x(23) x(23)
 p vallarta 64 x x( x) 1( 1) 1( 2) x( 2) x( 2) x( 2)

 barra Navidad  34 98   2(99)   x(99)   x(99)   x(99)   x(99)   x(99)
barra Navidad  50 75   8(83)   x(83)   x(83)   x(83)   x(83)   x(83)
barra Navidad  64  3   1( 4)   x( 4)   x( 4)   x( 4)   x( 4)   x( 4)
Manzanillo     34 94   3(97)   x(97)   x(97)   x(97)   x(97)   x(97)
Manzanillo     50 32   8(40)   x(40)   x(40)   x(40)   x(40)   x(40)
Manzanillo     64  1   1( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)
l Cardenas     34  3   2( 5)   x( 5)   1( 6)   x( 6)   x( 6)   x( 6)
Zihuatanejo    34  2   1( 3)   x( 3)   x( 3)   x( 3)   x( 3)   x( 3)
Islas Marias   34  4  10(14)   9(23)   3(26)   x(26)   x(26)   x(26)
Islas Marias   50  x   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   x(11)   x(11)   x(11)
Islas Marias   64  x   x( x)   1( 1)   1( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)   x( 2)

$$
forecaster Beven  

Here is your Marine Forcast:
2100 UTC Tue Oct 11 2011

changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

none

summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo northward to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas northward to south of Punta San Telmo Mexico * north of
 Cabo Corrientes to El Roblito Mexico

hurricane center located near 18.3n 105.4w at 11/2100z
position accurate within  20 nm

present movement toward the north-northeast or  30 degrees at   5 kt

estimated minimum central pressure  973 mb
eye diameter  15 nm
Max sustained winds  85 kt with gusts to 105 kt.
64 kt....... 15ne  15se  15sw  15nw.
50 kt....... 40ne  40se  40sw  40nw.
34 kt....... 90ne  90se  80sw  80nw.
12 ft seas..150ne 300se 300sw 150nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant.  Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 18.3n 105.4w at 11/2100z
at 11/1800z center was located near 17.9n 105.5w

forecast valid 12/0600z 19.3n 105.0w
Max wind  85 kt...gusts 105 kt.
64 kt... 15ne  15se  15sw  15nw.
50 kt... 35ne  40se  40sw  40nw.
34 kt... 75ne  90se  80sw  80nw.

Forecast valid 12/1800z 20.4n 104.8w...inland
Max wind  50 kt...gusts  60 kt.
50 kt... 15ne  15se  15sw  15nw.
34 kt... 50ne  90se  80sw  60nw.

Forecast valid 13/0600z 21.4n 104.8w...inland
Max wind  30 kt...gusts  40 kt.

Forecast valid 13/1800z 22.2n 104.8w...inland Post-trop/remnt low
Max wind  25 kt...gusts  35 kt.

Forecast valid 14/1800z...dissipated

request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 18.3n 105.4w

next advisory at 12/0300z

$$
forecaster Beven

And the Public Warning: 

...Center of category two Hurricane Jova moving toward the coast of
Mexico...
summary of 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...18.3n 105.4w
about 85 mi...140 km SW of Manzanillo Mexico
about 145 mi...235 km S of Cabo Corrientes Mexico
maximum sustained winds...100 mph...160 km/h
present movement...NNE or 30 degrees at 6 mph...9 km/h
minimum central pressure...973 mb...28.73 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...
none
summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo northward to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas northward to south of
Punta San Telmo Mexico * north of Cabo Corrientes to El Roblito Mexico
for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your National meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...the center of Hurricane Jova was located near latitude 18.3 north...longitude 105.4 west.
 Jova is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph...9 km/h...and this motion is expected to continue with an 
increase in forward speed this evening. A turn toward the north is expected later tonight or on Wednesday. On the
 forecast track...the center of the hurricane will cross the coast of Mexico tonight...and move over western Mexico
 Wednesday and Wednesday night.
 Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph...160 km/h...with higher
gusts.  Jova is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Some fluctuations in strength are possible before
landfall...with weakening expected after the center crosses the
coast.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles...30 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105
miles...165 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb...28.73 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are spreading onto the coast of
Mexico in the southern portion of the warning area and will spread
northward through the remainder of the warning area tonight.
Hurricane conditions are forecast to reach the coast within the
Hurricane Warning area during the evening.
Storm surge...a dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of
 where the center makes landfall. Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Rainfall...Jova is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches over the states of michoacan...
Colima...Jalisco... and nayarit...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over mountainous terrain.

 Surf...swells generated by Jova are affecting portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...500 PM PDT.
Next complete advisory...800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Ready or Not Puerto Vallarta, Here Comes Hurricane Jova, Cat. 3 (10 10 2011)

Ok, for any of you out there thining they were going to duck a bullet in Puerto Vallarta,  you are partially right, but mostly wrong.

Hurricane Jova right now looks like it is going to hit the coast of Mexico south of Puerto Vallarta.. Most of what  you will be reading has been cut and pasted with web address to visit your self. Updates happen about every six hours, so keep the site and refer back to it as of ten as you like… Here is the latest as of Monday late afternoon….

– East Pacific Major Hurricane Jova will make landfall somewhere on the Pacific coast of central Mexico Tuesday night, probably as a major hurricane, category 3 or stronger

– East Pacific Tropical Storm Irwin is west of and farther offshore than Jova, but will also head toward the Pacific coast of central Mexico and could make landfall there in several days, possibly as only a tropical depression

– Another new eastern Pacific depression has some chance to form east of Jova in the next couple of days, and then move northeastward and affect southeastern Mexico or northern Central America later this week

Check it  out  here: http://www.weather.com/newscenter/hurricanecentral/update/index.html

Here is the Tracking : Click on the pictures to enlarge to readable size…

Hurricane Jova 10 10 2011

Hurricane Jova 10 10 2011

Here is the 5 day Forecast :

Hurricane Jova 5 Day Tracking forcast 10 10 2011

Hurricane Jova 5 Day Tracking forcast 10 10 2011

Another perspective….

Hurricane Jova 10 10 2011Storm centered satelite image

Hurricane Jova 10 10 2011Storm centered satelite image

 

And the series of different computer models on the possible path….. looks like spaghetti to me

Hurricane Jova Ensemble computer models, White pathe believed probable

Hurricane Jova Ensemble computer models, White pathe believed probable

You can see Jova will be hitting land around Manzanillo with some forceful winds and swells to around 12 ft. But it sounds like the area around Manzanillo is where it will hit land… which is about 150 miles or so south of us here in PV. Now it could turn north, but with the mountain range around Puerto Vallarta this should protect the bay area, like it  always has.  That is my call on what is going  to happen. If the path follows  the southern route we in PV should see a good windy few days with a whole lot of rain, but as far  as much damage we should get through this ok… if it follows the southern  route. If not, and it move more to the north, we should still be pretty good, but it could get intense. What worries me is the thought of it moving drasticaly to the north and then the storm surge would cause some serious problems. Remember PV is only 20  feet above sea level, so a storm surge and big waves would seriously hurt PV. Now if you are in La Cruz Marina, I would be looking for a open dock in Marina Vallarta which is protected and the only place to be in a storm. But even this could be nasty… very nasty if it comes intot he bay!

 

Right  now it is a big guess… so be prepared with more than cigarettes amigos…. water and food that can be eaten cold is my suggestion… batteries for clocks, radios and flash lights should be stocked up on…. Candles are important and be sure to unplug any electronic device for obvious reasons…

 

One last thing, the fisherman in me want s to head out, but don´t. The fishing has been incredible as it can get before a big storm or tormenta as they say in spanish. If you can  get out after the ¨all clear¨announcemtns, go, it could be some of the bes tfishing you will eve r have a shot at… or not… it `s still fishing amigo.

 

Below is the official warning as of 9:00 or so tonight…. the latest  and scariest is yet to come…

Stan

Owner Master Baiter´s Sportfishing and Tackle

http://www.Masterbaiters Stan on Facebook….

http://www.masterbaiters.com.mx web site…  official forcast below….

2100 UTC Mon Oct 10 2011

changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch for the northwestern coast of Mexico from north of Cabo Corrientes northward to San Blas.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo northward to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas northward to south of Punta San Telmo Mexico

a tropical storm watch is in effect for... * north of Cabo Corrientes northward to San Blas Mexico

a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 48 hours.

Hurricane center located near 16.8n 106.2w at 10/2100z
position accurate within  15 nm

present movement toward the northeast or  50 degrees at   6 kt

estimated minimum central pressure  955 mb
eye diameter 15 nm
Max sustained winds 110 kt with gusts to 135 kt.
64 kt....... 15ne  15se  15sw  15nw.
50 kt....... 40ne  40se  40sw  35nw.
34 kt....... 80ne  80se  80sw  70nw.
12 ft seas..210ne 300se 300sw 120nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant.  Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 16.8n 106.2w at 10/2100z
at 10/1800z center was located near 16.5n 106.5w

forecast valid 11/0600z 17.2n 105.8w
Max wind 115 kt...gusts 140 kt.
64 kt... 20ne  20se  20sw  20nw.
50 kt... 40ne  45se  45sw  40nw.
34 kt... 80ne  90se  90sw  75nw.

Forecast valid 11/1800z 18.2n 105.2w
Max wind 115 kt...gusts 140 kt.
64 kt... 25ne  25se  20sw  20nw.
50 kt... 45ne  50se  50sw  40nw.
34 kt... 90ne 100se 100sw  85nw.

Forecast valid 12/0600z 19.5n 104.7w...inland
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
64 kt... 25ne  25se  20sw  20nw.
50 kt... 50ne  55se  55sw  45nw.
34 kt...100ne 110se 110sw  90nw.

Forecast valid 12/1800z 21.1n 104.5w...inland
Max wind  60 kt...gusts  75 kt.
50 kt... 30ne  50se  50sw  30nw.
34 kt... 60ne 110se 110sw  75nw.

Forecast valid 13/1800z 22.7n 104.6w...inland
Max wind  35 kt...gusts  45 kt.
34 kt... 20ne  40se  70sw  20nw.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 150 nm on day 4 and 200 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 14/1800z 24.5n 105.0w...Post-trop/remnt low
Max wind  20 kt...gusts  30 kt.

Outlook valid 15/1800z...dissipated

request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 16.8n 106.2w

next advisory at 11/0300z

$$
forecaster Stewart

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

Tropical Storm, Soon to be Hurricane Jova Update (10 8 2011), Hurricane Irwin Enters the Picture

Ok, it still looks like we here on the west coast of Mexico need to believe this Tropical Storm is going to turn into a Hurricane sometime today, but it seems to be taking it´s sweet  time in doing so.

All the models I am interested in still shows  the Hurricane coming towards  the Bay of Banderas which of course is where Puerto Vallarta  is.

If you follow my blog, and you have a boat here in Puerto Vallarta  it is important to remember there are things like storm surges that  will raise the level of the water we normally deal with in the Marinas. Ever wonder why those concrete pillars are so high, this is why, so docks don´t break free or come un-hooked and then play bumper boats in hundred mile an hour winds. So if you have a boat and you believe there may be an issue here, it is time to act… You can decide what that means in your case. But in any case, PV is going to get hit with some bad weather. Possible two or god forbid three hurricanes.

Hurricane Jova is the primary threat, it is behind Irwin and Irwin is not moving for nothing. Jova is behind it, running into it, which of course is why Jova is moving erratically. T he pressure systems seem to be showing the two hurricanes turning from Sea and moving towards the coast. There is also another tropical depression nobody is talking about but is sitting quietly, like a lingering tumor you know nothing of as yet and for now we will just  be aware it is there….

OK, so here´s t he beef amigos……

Tropial Storm Jova 10 8 2011

Tropial Storm Jova 10 8 2011

Then here is your 5 day forecast…….

5 day tracking.... Jova,  10 8 11

5 day tracking.... Jova, 10 8 11

And now the computer Model…..

Tropial Storm Jova 10 8 2011 Computer Model

Tropial Storm Jova 10 8 2011 Computer Model

And then there is the Expanded version computer model…..

Expanded Tropial Storm Jova 10 8 2011 Computer Model

Expanded Tropial Storm Jova 10 8 2011 Computer Model

So there you go folks, use this information wisely.

Remember you can subscribe to these  articles I write and get notices and information on what is happening on the docks and in the fishing grounds of Puerto Vallarta. It does not cost a dime and as far as I can see, I am the only  person with this sort of daily or weekly information coming out of Puerto Vallarta.  For my weekly fishing reports, not found here at this location go to my web page  http://www.masterbaiters.com.mx for up to date information without much horn blowing… Hahahaaa…..

OK, look for the next update on the Hurricane situation tomorrow…..

 

Stan

Owner Master Baiter´s Sportfishing and Tackle

Puerto Vallarta,  Mexico

Tropical Storm, Possible Hurricane Jova Sets Its Sights on Puerto Vallarta ( 10/7/11-Day 01)

It seems that every year we have some sort of Hurricane Activity that will threaten a tournament or even more important events like the Pan American Games scheduled to start Oct. 14th to the 30th.The Bisbee´s Fishing Tournament is in two weeks as well….. Bad Timing…

At this moment we have a Tropical Depression that turned into a tropical storm on its way to becoming a Hurricane.

But presently it is still only a Tropical Storm by the name of Jova!  Jova has winds at 55mph to gust  of 70mph which is on the edge of Hurricane Speed. It is also only moving 8 mph in the direction of Puerto Vallarta. Now this can all change rapidly. But the thing that gets my attention is the other Hurricane out there, Hurricane Irwin . The only time we see a real threat to Puerto Vallarta is when there are two hurricanes in tandum, the one on the ¨¨inside´ is always held in towards the mainland. Jova is the inward hurricane locked on an inside track.

This will screw with the fishing and the Marinas of Banderas Bay.

 

Not much we can do except watch and plan. Those of you in the area pay attention to this site and we´ll see how this all goes..Stay Tuned!

Layout of Hurricanes, Tropical Storms and depressions

Layout of Hurricanes, Tropical Storms and depressions

 

Below is the projected path of Hurrican Jova, you can see the sharp turn to the west…..

Tropial Storm Jova 10 7 2011

Tropial Storm Jova 10 7 2011

 

This is the 5 Day Tracking map… batten down the hatches amigos, looks like after more than fifty years we are going to see some action. Again stock up on water, candles, batteries, … have a radio that runs on batteries and flash lights available …….

5 day tracking.... 10 7 11

5 day tracking.... 10 7 11

 

I will continue to post updates … daily in the mean time you can check out these locations for more detailed information on Jova and Irwin….

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/tropics-watch-hurricane-season-2011_2011-07-06

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep201110.html?MR=1

So there you go, the latest and greatest on Hurricane Jova and Irwin…..  Find this on Bloody Decks…

Stan

Master Baiter´s Sportfishing  & Tacle